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Aresimi vs Skopje: match prediction on 29 August 2026

First League Stadion Chegrane Gostivar Miss Match page
Aresimi Skopje

Prediction for

Win: Aresimi

48%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

48% 1
27% X
26% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:46

Aresimi are tipped to win, backed by their superior recent form and Skopje's inability to secure results away from home.

Aresimi's last five matches read three wins, zero draws, two losses — nine points from fifteen available. They beat Shkëndija Haraçinë 2:0 on the road and kept a clean sheet against Bashkimi Kumanovo at home, though heavy defeats to Bregalnica Štip and Tikveš exposed defensive frailties. The side has scored eight goals and conceded eleven across that span, with 33% of their goals arriving in the final fifteen minutes. Their attacking output sits at 5.3 shots on target per match at fifty-five per cent accuracy.

They hold just thirty-four per cent possession on average and register only two point six shots on target per game.

The head-to-head record over five meetings shows one win each and three draws. Aresimi won 2:0 at Skopje in April 2025, while the home fixture in October 2024 ended goalless. Three of the five meetings have produced draws, including a 1:1 draw at Aresimi in March 2024.

The analysis projects one point four goals for Aresimi and one point zero for Skopje, with a twenty-seven per cent probability of a draw. The most likely scores are 1:0 and 1:1, each at thirteen per cent, followed by 2:0 at nine per cent. Forty-eight per cent of simulated outcomes show both teams scoring.

Skopje's poor away record, characterized by a lack of goals and defensive vulnerabilities, makes an away victory unlikely. Aresimi's defensive record — conceding seventeen per cent of goals in the opening fifteen minutes — could be exploited if Skopje start sharply.

Final prediction: Aresimi win.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:46
  • Аресими — 7. place, 6 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
  • Скопье — 9. place, 2 points after 4 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)
  • Аресими, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Скопье, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 5 games, Аресими — 1, 3 draws, Скопье — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Aresimi WWDLD 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Skopje LDDLW 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 5

1Aresimi 3Draw 1Skopje
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+