Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Aresimi
Skopje
Prediction for
Win: Aresimi
48%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 5
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:46Aresimi are tipped to win, backed by their superior recent form and Skopje's inability to secure results away from home.
Aresimi's last five matches read three wins, zero draws, two losses — nine points from fifteen available. They beat Shkëndija Haraçinë 2:0 on the road and kept a clean sheet against Bashkimi Kumanovo at home, though heavy defeats to Bregalnica Štip and Tikveš exposed defensive frailties. The side has scored eight goals and conceded eleven across that span, with 33% of their goals arriving in the final fifteen minutes. Their attacking output sits at 5.3 shots on target per match at fifty-five per cent accuracy.
They hold just thirty-four per cent possession on average and register only two point six shots on target per game.
The head-to-head record over five meetings shows one win each and three draws. Aresimi won 2:0 at Skopje in April 2025, while the home fixture in October 2024 ended goalless. Three of the five meetings have produced draws, including a 1:1 draw at Aresimi in March 2024.
The analysis projects one point four goals for Aresimi and one point zero for Skopje, with a twenty-seven per cent probability of a draw. The most likely scores are 1:0 and 1:1, each at thirteen per cent, followed by 2:0 at nine per cent. Forty-eight per cent of simulated outcomes show both teams scoring.
Skopje's poor away record, characterized by a lack of goals and defensive vulnerabilities, makes an away victory unlikely. Aresimi's defensive record — conceding seventeen per cent of goals in the opening fifteen minutes — could be exploited if Skopje start sharply.
Final prediction: Aresimi win.