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AS Kigali vs Al Hilal Omdurman: match prediction on 16 September 2026

National Soccer League Kigali Pelé Stadium Kigali Hit Match page
AS Kigali Al Hilal Omdurman

Prediction for

Win: Al Hilal Omdurman

61%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

15% 1
24% X
61% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Sep, 14:13

The visitors have won both previous meetings, scored six goals across those two games while keeping AS Kigali scoreless at home, and the model expects them to find the net 1.7 times against a side that has yet to earn a point this season.

AS Kigali sit 10th, with zero points from a defeat. Their last five matches show two wins and three losses, scoring six goals and conceding eight. The most recent result was a 0:2 loss away to Marines on 6 September, ending a run that included home victories over Musanze and Gicumbi but also defeats to Rutsiro and APR.

Al Hilal Omdurman have been more consistent, recording three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five outings. They scored nine goals and conceded three, including a 2:0 away win against Aigle Noir in the CAF Champions League on 5 September and a 4:0 victory over KVZ in the CECAFA Club Cup on 29 July. Only one defeat came, a 1:2 home loss to Jamus in August.

The model points to a narrow away victory. Expected goals are 0.7 for AS Kigali and 1.7 for Al Hilal Omdurman. The most likely scoreline is 0:1 at 15%, followed by 0:2 at 13% and 1:1 at 11%. A draw carries 24% probability, while both teams scoring sits at 41%.

Al Hilal Omdurman have been particularly dangerous late in matches, scoring 50% of their 20 goals in the final 15 minutes of games. They have also conceded 92% of their 12 goals in that same period, suggesting they can close out results but may be vulnerable if trailing.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Sep, 14:13
  • АС Кигали — 10. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
  • АС Кигали, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Аль-Хилаль Омдурман, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, АС Кигали — 0, Аль-Хилаль Омдурман — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

AS Kigali LWLDL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Al Hilal Omdurman DLWWW 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 2

0AS Kigali 0Draw 2Al Hilal Omdurman
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+