ELJ
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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AS Kigali
Prediction for
Win: Al Hilal Omdurman
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 14:13The visitors have won both previous meetings, scored six goals across those two games while keeping AS Kigali scoreless at home, and the model expects them to find the net 1.7 times against a side that has yet to earn a point this season.
AS Kigali sit 10th, with zero points from a defeat. Their last five matches show two wins and three losses, scoring six goals and conceding eight. The most recent result was a 0:2 loss away to Marines on 6 September, ending a run that included home victories over Musanze and Gicumbi but also defeats to Rutsiro and APR.
Al Hilal Omdurman have been more consistent, recording three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five outings. They scored nine goals and conceded three, including a 2:0 away win against Aigle Noir in the CAF Champions League on 5 September and a 4:0 victory over KVZ in the CECAFA Club Cup on 29 July. Only one defeat came, a 1:2 home loss to Jamus in August.
The model points to a narrow away victory. Expected goals are 0.7 for AS Kigali and 1.7 for Al Hilal Omdurman. The most likely scoreline is 0:1 at 15%, followed by 0:2 at 13% and 1:1 at 11%. A draw carries 24% probability, while both teams scoring sits at 41%.
Al Hilal Omdurman have been particularly dangerous late in matches, scoring 50% of their 20 goals in the final 15 minutes of games. They have also conceded 92% of their 12 goals in that same period, suggesting they can close out results but may be vulnerable if trailing.