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Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo: match prediction on 4 September 2026

Primera División - Apertura Estadio Charrúa Montevideo Hit Match page
Atletico Torque Cerro Largo

Prediction for

Win: Atletico Torque

50%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

62% 1
23% X
14% 2

Average bookmaker line (48)

1.47 1
3.96 X
6.38 2

Odds range

1.40 — 2.12

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 2 Sep, 23:09

Atletico Torque began the Primera División - Apertura campaign with a perfect record, winning three of their first three matches to sit second on nine points. Cerro Largo, meanwhile, had played seven games and accumulated eleven points to lead the table. The visitors were in poor recent form, having drawn four of their last five matches without a win, while the hosts had lost only once in that period. Atletico Torque won the fixture 1-0.

Season averages

Cerro Largo controlled more of the ball, averaging fifty per cent possession compared to Atletico Torque’s forty-five per cent over their last ten matches. However, the hosts generated more accurate attacking output, averaging 4.71 shots on target against Cerro Largo’s 3.38.

Betting movements

Before the match, the market moved sharply towards the home side. The away win price rose from 4.85 to 6.33, a thirty point six per cent increase. The draw price also drifted from 3.54 to 3.95, indicating that bookmakers had priced in the likelihood of a home victory based on the contrast in form.

Season context

The result kept Atletico Torque at the top of their current run, though Cerro Largo remained higher in the standings due to playing more games. The goal came late in the game, fitting the pattern of Atletico Torque’s scoring, with twenty-six per cent of their total goals coming in the final fifteen minutes. Cerro Largo’s defense had conceded twenty per cent of their goals in the same period.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 2 Sep, 23:09
  • Атлетико Торке — 6. place, 23 points after 15 games (6 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses)
  • Серро-Ларго — 12. place, 17 points after 15 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 8 losses)
  • Атлетико Торке, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Серро-Ларго, last 5 games: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Атлетико Торке — 3, 1 draws, Серро-Ларго — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Atletico Torque WLWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Cerro Largo DDLDL 3 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 12

5Atletico Torque 5Draw 2Cerro Largo
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

48 bookmakers counted
1.47 Average bookmaker line
1.40 — 2.12 Odds range

More predictions

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+