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Barra Mansa vs SE Belford Roxo: match prediction on 14 September 2026

Carioca B2 Estádio Leão do Sul Barra Mansa Pending Match page
Barra Mansa SE Belford Roxo

Prediction for

Win: SE Belford Roxo

70%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

10% 1
20% X
70% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 18:53

SE Belford Roxo Win

SE Belford Roxo are favourites to win on 14 September. SE Belford Roxo are projected to score 1.9 goals to Barra Mansa’s 0.6. This supports a visitors' triumph.

Both sides enter the fixture unbeaten in the current Carioca B2 campaign. SE Belford Roxo sit second with four points from a win and a draw, while Barra Mansa occupy eighth place with two points from two draws. The visitors have shown more potency in the opening rounds, having already secured a victory against Paraty away from home. Barra Mansa's recent form offers little comfort. Over their last five matches, they have recorded only one win alongside two draws and two defeats. They have conceded eight goals in that span while scoring just four. Their current run of two draws suggests a tendency to grind out results rather than attack. SE Belford Roxo hit late, netting 40% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes across their last five games. The odds favour a 0-1 or 0-2 scoreline. Barra Mansa must survive the visitors’ late surge. A draw would suit the hosts, who have already drawn twice this season, but it would require them to defend deep and survive the visitors' attacks in the closing stages. If Barra Mansa manage to hold the line until the 76th minute, the visitors' tendency to score late could be neutralised, and the result might shift towards a stalemate.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 18:53
  • Барра-Манса — 8. place, 2 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Белфорду-Розу — 2. place, 4 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Барра-Манса, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
  • Белфорду-Розу, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Барра-Манса — 0, Белфорду-Розу — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Barra Mansa DLLDW 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
SE Belford Roxo LLLWD 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 1

0Barra Mansa 0Draw 1SE Belford Roxo
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+