ELJ
Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Barranquilla vs Ind. Yumbo: match prediction on 15 September 2026
Barranquilla
Ind. Yumbo
Prediction for
Win: Barranquilla
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
44%
1
29%
X
28%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 23:13- Барранкилья — 7. place, 20 points after 15 games (6 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses)
- Индустириал Юмбо — 9. place, 19 points after 15 games (4 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses)
- Барранкилья, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Индустириал Юмбо, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Барранкилья — 0, Индустириал Юмбо — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Barranquilla
LWWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Ind. Yumbo
LWWDW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 1
0Barranquilla
0Draw
1Ind. Yumbo
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 23:13Barranquilla to win 1:0 — the model's most likely scoreline, backed by their attacking concentration in the final quarter and Ind. Yumbo's vulnerability in the opening 15 minutes.
Ind. Yumbo arrive with better momentum. Their last five matches produced three wins, one draw and one loss — 10 points from 15 available, with just one goal conceded across the run. Barranquilla managed only seven points in the same period, scoring seven and letting in eight. The visitors' defensive solidity contrasts sharply with the hosts' leakiness, particularly early on.
Goal timing reveals the pattern. The hosts' late pressure meets the visitors' early fragility. Barranquilla also concede heavily in the 46-60 minute window (21%), which could work against them if Ind. Yumbo find their rhythm after the break.
Head-to-head shows one meeting so far this season: Ind. Yumbo won 1:0 away on 11 March. The model expects Barranquilla to score 1.3 goals and Ind. Yumbo 0.9, with a 14% probability for a 1:0 result and 13% for 1:1. The draw sits at 29%, both teams to score at 44%. These figures point to a tight contest decided by a single moment.
The conclusion holds only if Barranquilla's late-game intensity materialises and Ind. Yumbo's early defensive vulnerability persists. A draw suits the visitors — given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If Ind. Yumbo survive the opening pressure and control the middle third, they could extend their unbeaten run away from home.