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Bogota FC vs Envigado: match prediction on 5 October 2026

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Rodrigo Lara Bonilla) Bogotá Pending Match page
Bogota FC Envigado

Prediction for

Win: Envigado

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

14% 1
32% X
54% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 4 Oct, 23:05

No result is recorded for the match between Bogota FC and Envigado on 5 October 2026. The fixture was scheduled for 22:00 UTC in the Primera B, but no official scoreline, goalscorers, or referee report are available in the database.

Form and context

Before the scheduled kick-off, the statistical picture contrasted sharply. Bogota FC FC sat sixth in the standings with 23 points from 15 matches, while Envigado occupied fourth place with 29 points. In the previous five games, Bogota secured only one victory and suffered three defeats, whereas Envigado failed to lose, drawing four and winning once. The head-to-head record from the previous year showed a single meeting, with Bogota winning 2-1 at Envigado’s stadium on 25 March 2026.

Predictions and models

Pre-match analysis models suggested a low-scoring affair. The expected goals projection placed Bogota FC FC at 0.6 and Envigado at 1.3. The most probable outcome was a 0-1 victory for the visitors, with a 17 per cent probability of a goalless draw. The data indicated that Bogota tended to concede early, with 48 per cent of their goals against arriving in the first 30 minutes, while they themselves scored heavily in the final 30 minutes of matches.

Team availability

Disciplinary issues loom for both sides heading into the fixture. Envigado’s Didier Alcides Dawson Villarreal had received a red card on 1 October 2026, just days before the scheduled game. Bogota FC FC’s H. Sandoval Lasso also carried a recent red card from 21 September 2026. No further team news, such as injuries or tactical changes, was available.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 4 Oct, 23:05
  • Богота — 6. place, 23 points after 15 games (6 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses)
  • Энвигадо — 4. place, 29 points after 15 games (9 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses)
  • Богота, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Энвигадо, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Богота — 1, Энвигадо — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Bogota FC LLDWL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Envigado DDDWD 1 win · 4 draws

Head to head 1

1Bogota FC 0Draw 0Envigado
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+