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Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia: match prediction on 30 August 2026

First League Stadion Hristo Botev Plovdiv Hit Match page
Botev Plovdiv Levski Sofia

Prediction for

Win: Levski Sofia

56%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

21% 1
23% X
56% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 19:34

# Levski Sofia to Win Away at Botev Plovdiv

Levski Sofia should take all three points on Sunday. The visitors sit second with fifteen points from five matches and have not lost a single game this season, while Botev Plovdiv languish sixth with seven points after six fixtures. The gap in results tells the story: five victories for Levski against two wins for their hosts.

Levski's unbeaten run is the defining feature of this fixture. They have accumulated fifteen points from five games, winning every single match. Botev Plovdiv, by contrast, have collected seven points from six outings, winning twice, drawing once, and losing three times. Levski's perfect record suggests a side that has found its rhythm, while Botev's uneven results point to inconsistency that could prove costly against a team in form.

The head-to-head record adds weight to Levski's case. Over eight meetings in recent years, Botev have won just one game, drawn twice, and lost five times to Levski. Botev's solitary victory is a reminder that upsets are possible, but the pattern over multiple seasons points toward Levski control.

Levski are expected to score 1.8 goals while Botev manage 0.9. The most likely scores reflect this: 0:1 at 12 per cent, 1:1 at 11 per cent, and 0:2 at 10 per cent. The distribution of probable scores leans clear toward the visitors. The 23 per cent chance of a draw sits alongside a 50 per cent likelihood both teams score, suggesting Levski could find the net even if Botev do too.

Levski's win looks the most probable path, provided their form holds. If Botev can exploit any complacency from a team that has won every game, or if Levski's attacking output drops below the expected 1.8 goals, the outcome shifts. A draw would require Botev to hold firm defensively, which their recent record of three losses makes less certain.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 19:34
  • Ботев Пловдив идёт 6-м: 7 очков после 6 матчей (2 побед, 1 ничьих, 3 поражений)
  • Левски София идёт 2-м: 15 очков после 5 матчей (5 побед, 0 поражений)
  • Последние 5 матчей Ботев Пловдив: 2 побед, 3 поражений
  • Последние 5 матчей Левски София: 3 побед, 1 ничьих, 1 поражений
  • Очные встречи за последние годы: сыграно 8, побед Ботев Пловдив — 1, ничьих 2, побед Левски София — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Botev Plovdiv WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses
Levski Sofia WDWLW 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 16

4Botev Plovdiv 4Draw 8Levski Sofia
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+