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Briton Ferry vs Barry Town: match prediction on 31 August 2026

Premier League Old Road Briton Ferry Hit Match page
Briton Ferry Barry Town

Prediction for

Win: Barry Town

53%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

29% 1
27% X
44% 2

Average bookmaker line (48)

3.13 1
3.39 X
2.05 2

Odds range

1.92 — 2.18

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 14:44

Barry Town are predicted to win, with a 65% probability.

The visitors have won all five of their league matches so far, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 6. Briton Ferry sit 9th with 7 points from 5 games, their record reading 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. The gap between them at the top of the table is 8 points after only 5 rounds.

Barry Town's run of victories started on 31 July and has not been interrupted. They beat Cambrian & Clydach 2:1 at home and Flint Town United 3:2 away, among other results. Briton Ferry's form tells a different story. They won against Ammanford AFC 2:1 at home and Flint Town United 1:0 at home, but lost 3:0 away to Cardiff Met and 1:0 away to The New Saints, drawing 1:1 away to Cambrian & Clydach.

Head-to-head history shows Barry Town have the edge. Of 7 meetings, they won 3, Briton Ferry won 2, and 2 ended in draws. The most recent encounter on 31 December 2025 saw Briton Ferry win 2:1 at home, but before that Barry Town had won 5:0 at home in April and 3:1 away in October.

The prediction is that Barry Town will score 1.7 goals and Briton Ferry 1.1. The probability of a draw sits at 24%, while the chance of both teams scoring is 54%. Three or more goals are expected in 53% of simulations. The most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 11%, 0:1 at 11%, and 1:2 at 10%. Barry Town's attacking record of 32 goals across their matches shows they find the net regularly, while Briton Ferry have managed only 17.

Barry Town concede most of their goals in the 61-75 minute period, accounting for 37% of their total. Briton Ferry's defensive vulnerabilities appear between 46-60 minutes (31%) and 76-90 minutes (31%). On the other side, Briton Ferry score heavily in the 31-45 minute block (29%) and again between 61-75 minutes (29%). Barry Town's strongest scoring period comes in the final quarter, where 34% of their goals fall.

This prediction falls apart if Barry Town's discipline issues materialise. D. Barton carries a red card and one booking away from suspension, while M. George is also one yellow card from a ban. If either player is unavailable, the visitors lose depth in areas where they have been strongest.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 14:44
  • Бритон Ферри — 9. place, 7 points after 5 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
  • Барри Таун — 1. place, 15 points after 5 games (5 wins, 0 losses)
  • Бритон Ферри, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Барри Таун, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 7 games, Бритон Ферри — 2, 2 draws, Барри Таун — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Briton Ferry WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses
Barry Town WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 8

3Briton Ferry 2Draw 3Barry Town
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

48 bookmakers counted
2.05 Average bookmaker line
1.92 — 2.18 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+