Cup
Prediction for Baník Prievidza — Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
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Brodd
Viking
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 08:47Viking are heavy favourites to advance in the NM Cupen on 2 September. The contrast in form is stark: five straight defeats for Brodd against three wins and a draw for Viking in their last five outings. I see no reason for the underdog to overturn that gap on their own turf, and I propose a Viking win.
Brodd's record since 2022 tells the story in full. They have lost all five matches on record, scoring just three goals while conceding 13. The most recent results—1:3 at home to Flekkerøy, 1:3 against Sandnes ULF, 1:2 to Vidar—show a side that cannot contain even mid-table opposition. There is no point in the last five games where they took more than a single point from a match.
Viking operate on a different level. In their last five fixtures they collected 10 points from 3 wins and 1 draw, with a single loss to Rosenborg BK. The quality of opposition is telling: matches against Dinamo Zagreb in the Champions League, Aalesund and Sarpsborg 08 in the Eliteserien. They scored 10 goals and conceded 7 across those games, with top scorers Zlatko Tripić (6 goals), Peter Christiansen (5), and Henrik Heggheim (4) providing consistent output.
The timing of goals reveals where Viking are most dangerous. They score heavily in the final quarter—21% of their 42 goals arrive between the 76th and 90th minute—and another 24% in the closing stages of the first half. Brodd have not faced a side with that kind of late-game persistence in any of their recent results. Viking also concede most of their 23 goals in the opening 15 minutes (26%) and between the 61st and 75th (22%), but that pattern matters less here when Brodd have failed to score in any of those periods themselves.
I expect Viking to win 2:0 or 2:1. A draw would be the main threat to this conclusion, particularly if Viking manage their lead carefully in the final 15 minutes and Brodd find a way to frustrate them. But Brodd's inability to score across five consecutive matches makes that scenario unlikely.