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Carshalton Athletic vs Chertsey Town: match preview on 7 September 2026

FA Cup War Memorial Sports Ground Carshalton Pending Match page
Carshalton Athletic Chertsey Town

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51% 1
24% X
24% 2

Average bookmaker line (43)

1.79 1
3.79 X
3.76 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 6 Sep, 12:02

Carshalton Athletic to win. The replay gives the hosts a clear advantage: they only need a draw to reach extra time, and the odds at 1.79 reflect that tactical reality. Chertsey must attack, and that opens space for Carshalton to exploit.

Recent form shows the gap between the sides. Carshalton have taken 5 points from 5 matches — 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses — scoring 7 and conceding 5. Chertsey have gone further, taking 11 points from their last 5 with 3 wins and 2 draws, netting 10 goals while letting in 5. The visitors have been the more consistent side, but they have not yet beaten Carshalton in this campaign.

The first meeting on 05.09.2026 ended 1:1 at Chertsey's ground. That draw sets the conditions for this replay. A result for Carshalton sends the tie to extra time or penalties. A draw for Chertsey — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat — also pushes the game beyond 90 minutes. Carshalton's home advantage in a replay is not something to dismiss lightly.

Chertsey's goal timing tells a story. They have scored 8 goals across their last 5 matches, with 25% coming in the opening 15 minutes, another 25% between 31 and 45 minutes, and 25% between 46 and 60 minutes. They have not scored at all between 16 and 30 minutes. Defensively, they have conceded a third of their goals in each of three periods — 16–30, 31–45, and 61–75 — and none in the final 15 minutes. That late solidity could matter if the match goes to extra time.

The odds have not moved since opening at 12:00 on match day. Carshalton at 1.79, draw at 3.80, Chertsey at 3.76 across 43 bookmakers. Carshalton's possession average of 51% and 94.67 attacks per match compared to Chertsey's 43% and 78.25 shows the hosts tend to control territory and create more chances.

Carshalton Athletic to win 1-0 or 2-1. This conclusion stops holding if Chertsey score early and then sit back — a draw suits the visitors in that scenario, and their late defensive record (zero goals conceded after the 75th minute) makes them dangerous in extended periods.

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Carshalton Athletic LLDDL 2 draws · 3 losses
Chertsey Town WWDWW 4 wins · 1 draw

Head to head 1

0Carshalton Athletic 1Draw 0Chertsey Town
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

43 bookmakers counted

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+