Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Casa Pia AC vs Moreirense: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Casa Pia AC
Moreirense
Prediction for
Win: Casa Pia AC
41%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
40%
1
30%
X
30%
2
Average bookmaker line (45)
2.36
1
3.08
X
3.15
2
Odds range
2.20 — 2.44
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 18:08- Каза-Пия — 18. place, 0 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
- Морейренсе — 16. place, 1 points after 2 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Каза-Пия, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Морейренсе, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Каза-Пия — 3, 1 draws, Морейренсе — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Casa Pia AC
LLLLD
1 draw · 4 losses
Moreirense
DLWLL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Head to head 7
3Casa Pia AC
1Draw
3Moreirense
- 1 MarCasa Pia AC — Moreirense1:1
- 27 Sep 2025Moreirense — Casa Pia AC2:1
- 15 Feb 2025Moreirense — Casa Pia AC3:2
- 14 Sep 2024Casa Pia AC — Moreirense3:1
- 12 May 2024Casa Pia AC — Moreirense0:1
Bookmaker market
45
bookmakers counted
2.36
Average bookmaker line
2.20 — 2.44
Odds range
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 18:08Preview: Casa Pia AC vs Moreirense
Casa Pia AC sit 18th with zero points from three matches, while Moreirense are 16th with one point after two games.
Casa Pia’s recent form is dire. They have lost five matches in a row, conceding 17 goals while scoring just two. The 0:7 home defeat to Benfica on 17 August is a psychological wound. They tend to score in the 31st to 45th minute, accounting for 38% of their goals, but they concede heavily in the 61st to 75th minute, where 25% of their goals fall.
Moreirense have one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. They drew 2:2 against SC Braga at home on 9 August and lost 0:4 away to Arouca on 16 August.
The head-to-head record is evenly matched. In seven meetings over recent years, Casa Pia have won three times and Moreirense three times, with one draw. The last meeting ended 1:1 on 30 August 2026.
Expected goals figures point to a tight contest. The model expects Casa Pia to generate 1.4 goals and Moreirense 1.2. A draw suits the visitors, who have shown they can manage games. If Casa Pia score early, everything changes.
The match begins at 17:00 UTC on 30 August 2026. Both teams have several players one booking away from suspension, including Dominguês José Gabriel Bandeira for Casa Pia and Nile Omari Mckenzie John for Moreirense.