Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Croatia Zmijavci vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Croatia Zmijavci
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Prediction for
Win: Croatia Zmijavci
40%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
40%
1
31%
X
29%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 16:07- Хрватия Змиявци — 1. place, 6 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- БСК Биело-Брдо — 7. place, 4 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Хрватия Змиявци, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- БСК Биело-Брдо, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 12 games, Хрватия Змиявци — 4, 4 draws, БСК Биело-Брдо — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Croatia Zmijavci
WWWWD
4 wins · 1 draw
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
LDLWW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 16
5Croatia Zmijavci
5Draw
6Bsk Bijelo Brdo
- 30 MayBsk Bijelo Brdo — Croatia Zmijavci0:1
- 15 MarCroatia Zmijavci — Bsk Bijelo Brdo1:1
- 18 Oct 2025Bsk Bijelo Brdo — Croatia Zmijavci1:0
- 19 Apr 2025Croatia Zmijavci — Bsk Bijelo Brdo1:3
- 30 Nov 2024Croatia Zmijavci — Bsk Bijelo Brdo0:1
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 16:07Croatia Zmijavci win, 65%
Croatia Zmijavci take all three points at home, built on a five-match winning run that has left them top of the First NL after two games.
Croatia Zmijavci have not been beaten in five matches, winning all of them and keeping a 11:2 goal ratio. They opened the season with victories over Hrvace and Dubrava Zagreb, both by two-goal margins. Bsk Bijelo Brdo sit seventh with four points from one win and one draw, but their last five matches tell a different story: two draws and three losses, scoring just twice while conceding five. Their only recent positive was a 1:1 draw at home against HNK Cibalia.
Twelve meetings in recent years have produced four wins apiece and four draws, but the pattern has shifted. Croatia Zmijavci won 1:0 away in May and drew 1:1 at home in March, while BSK's last victory over them came in October 2025.
Croatia Zmijavci's attacking pattern is clear: 27% of their goals come between the 61st and 75th minute, with another 40% after the 75th. Bsk Bijelo Brdo share a similar tendency, with 50% of their goals in the 61-75 minute window. Defensively, Zmijavci are most vulnerable early—22% of goals against them fall in the first 15 minutes—while BSK concede 27% of theirs between the 31st and 45th. Neither side has been consistent in the opening quarter.
The model expects Croatia Zmijavci to score 1.1 goals and BSK 0.9, with a 31% chance of a draw and 39% that both teams find the net. The most likely outcome is 1:0 at 15%, followed by 0:0 at 14% and 1:1 at 13%. Three or more goals are expected in 32% of simulations. Suspension risks exist for both sides—J. Iyendjok for Zmijavci with three yellows, S. Acanni for BSK with a red card and two yellows—but neither is confirmed absent.
A draw suits BSK if they can survive the opening 15 minutes without conceding, then frustrate Croatia Zmijavci through the middle period. The visitors' 18% of goals conceded in the 16-30 minute window suggests they are vulnerable there, but if they camp in their own half and keep it tight, the match could end level.