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CS Cartaginés vs LD Alajuelense: match prediction on 14 September 2026
CS Cartaginés
LD Alajuelense
Prediction for
Win: CS Cartaginés
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
43%
1
30%
X
27%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 04:13- Картахинес — 2. place, 15 points after 7 games (5 wins, 2 losses)
- Алахуэленсе — 5. place, 11 points after 7 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)
- Картахинес, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
- Алахуэленсе, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 19 games, Картахинес — 2, 5 draws, Алахуэленсе — 12
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
CS Cartaginés
WDWWL
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
LD Alajuelense
LDLWW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 32
5CS Cartaginés
10Draw
17LD Alajuelense
- 4 MarLD Alajuelense — CS Cartaginés2:0
- 22 JanCS Cartaginés — LD Alajuelense1:0
- 30 Nov 2025CS Cartaginés — LD Alajuelense0:2
- 21 Nov 2025LD Alajuelense — CS Cartaginés0:0
- 16 Mar 2025CS Cartaginés — LD Alajuelense1:1
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 04:13Saturday’s clash is between CS Cartaginés and LD Alajuelense.
Current Standings and Form
CS Cartaginés currently occupies second place in the Primera División table with 15 points from seven matches. Their record comprises five wins and two defeats. Cartaginés have won four and drawn one in five, scoring 12 and conceding four.
LD Alajuelense sits in fifth position with 11 points after seven games. Their record stands at three wins, two draws, and two losses. Alajuelense have won one and drawn two in five, scoring six and conceding seven.
Head-to-Head History
Alajuelense lead the head-to-head 12 wins to two. In 19 meetings over recent years, Alajuelense claimed 12 victories, while Cartaginés won only two, with five draws. The most recent meeting on 4 March 2026 saw Alajuelense defeat Cartaginés 2:0 away from home. Cartaginés last beat Alajuelense in January 2026 with a 1:0 victory at home.
Statistical Expectations
Models project 1.2 goals for Cartaginés and 0.9 for Alajuelense. The probability of a draw was calculated at 30%, while the likelihood of both teams scoring was set at 40%. The most probable scoreline was assessed as 1:0, with a 15% chance.
Both teams average similar possession figures of 52% in their last ten matches. Cartaginés averages 5.8 shots on target per game compared to Alajuelense’s 5.6. Cartaginés has scored 22% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, while Alajuelense has conceded 27% of their goals in the 46-60 minute period.