Da Nang vs Nam Định: match prediction on 11 September 2026

Nam Định take the points against Da Nang on Thursday, a conclusion built on four victories in six meetings and the visitors' superior start to the season. They sit second with three points from one game while Da Nang languish in eighth after losing their opener. The model puts a Nam Định win at 42%, with the most likely outcomes clustering around narrow margins: 1:1 at 12%, 0:1 at 10%, and 1:2 at 9%.

Nam Định opened with a 4:0 victory over Hoang Anh Gia Lai at home, while Da Nang suffered a 2:3 defeat away to Thanh Hóa. Three points versus none creates immediate pressure on the hosts, who must find a way to avoid falling further behind in the standings. Nam Định's position gives them room to control the tempo rather than chase the game.

In six meetings across the past years, Da Nang have failed to win a single match — two draws and four defeats. The most recent encounters at Da Nang's ground both ended 1:2 to Nam Định, in the league and the cup. The only exception was a goalless draw in April 2025, and Nam Định's 5:0 triumph in November 2024 remains the most lopsided result. Da Nang have not found a path to victory in this fixture for some time.

Da Nang's last five matches produced two wins, two draws, and one loss — eight points with ten goals scored and five conceded. Nam Định's five games yielded two victories, one draw, and two defeats, accumulating seven points from eleven goals for and seven against. Both sides have shown they can score, but Nam Định's defensive record is tighter. The model expects Da Nang to score 1.3 goals and Nam Định 1.5, with a 55% chance that both teams find the net.

A draw suits the visitors in one sense — they would still move clear of Da Nang in the table. The main threat to this prediction comes if Da Nang exploit their scoring pattern in the 46th to 60th minute, where they have put away 33% of their goals, or if Nam Định's vulnerability in the 31st to 45th minute, where they concede 36% of their goals, becomes decisive. A first-half lead for Da Nang would change the complexion entirely.

If Da Nang find a way to control the opening period and limit Nam Định's chances in the middle third, the prediction loses its footing. Otherwise, the visitors take something from Da Nang.