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Dečić vs Jezero: match prediction on 30 August 2026

First League Stadion Tuško Polje Tuzi Hit Match page
Dečić Jezero

Prediction for

Win: Dečić

50%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

50% 1
28% X
22% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 11:09

Dečić are expected to edge this one, with Jezero likely to struggle for goals.

Dečić sit top of the First League after four matches, accumulating 10 points from three wins and a draw. Their recent form has been strong, securing four victories and a draw in their last five outings. They have been solid at the back, conceding just one goal while netting eight. Notable results include a 3:0 away win against Otrant-Olympic on 23 August and a 1:0 home victory over Bokelj on 17 August. A key feature of their attack is its timing, with 30% of their goals arriving in the opening 15 minutes and 25% in the final quarter. Defensively, they tend to be vulnerable late in games, having conceded 54% of their goals after the 60th minute.

Jezero occupy fifth place with 5 points from one win, two draws and a loss. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins, two draws and a defeat, scoring six goals and conceding four. Their recent results include a goalless draw at home to Sutjeska on 22 August and a 3:0 away defeat to Petrovac on 16 August. Their scoring patterns show 33% of goals arriving between the 31st and 45th minute, while they have failed to score at all between the 61st and 75th minute. Defensively, 36% of goals against them fall in the final 15 minutes.

The head-to-head record over recent years comprises 19 matches, with Dečić winning six, nine ending in draws and Jezero claiming four. Dečić have won the last two encounters, taking all six points available. Jezero's only win in that period came 4:0 at home on 13 September 2025.

This promises to be a tight contest, with a significant chance of a draw. The most likely scorelines are 1:0, 1:1 and 0:0. Dečić average five shots on target per match compared to Jezero's four. In terms of attacking moves, Jezero average 79.33 attacks per game against Dečić's 114.3.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 11:09
  • Дечич — 1. place, 10 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Езеро — 5. place, 5 points after 4 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses)
  • Дечич, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
  • Езеро, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 19 games, Дечич — 6, 9 draws, Езеро — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Dečić DWWWW 4 wins · 1 draw
Jezero DWLDL 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 27

7Dečić 13Draw 7Jezero
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+