Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin: match prediction on 10 September 2026
Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
Prediction for
Win: Deportivo Pasto
41%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
26%
1
29%
X
44%
2
Average bookmaker line (47)
3.48
1
3.10
X
2.06
2
Odds range
3.20 — 3.75
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 02:19- Индепендьенте Медельин — 1. place, 8 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Депортиво Пасто, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
- Индепендьенте Медельин, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 13 games, Депортиво Пасто — 3, 4 draws, Индепендьенте Медельин — 6
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Deportivo Pasto
LDLDL
2 draws · 3 losses
Independiente Medellin
WLWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 17
4Deportivo Pasto
6Draw
7Independiente Medellin
- 25 JulIndependiente Medellin — Deportivo Pasto3:2
- 18 JanDeportivo Pasto — Independiente Medellin1:0
- 19 Aug 2025Deportivo Pasto — Independiente Medellin1:2
- 4 Mar 2025Independiente Medellin — Deportivo Pasto1:0
- 9 Sep 2024Deportivo Pasto — Independiente Medellin1:0
Bookmaker market
47
bookmakers counted
3.48
Average bookmaker line
3.20 — 3.75
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 02:19Deportivo Pasto claim upset victory over league leaders
Deportivo Pasto beat Independiente Medellin in the Copa Colombia on Thursday night, overturning expectations that the visitors would cruise away with the points. The result is particularly surprising given that Independiente Medellín sat on top of the table with eight points from four matches, while Deportivo Pasto had not won any of their last five games. The home side secured the win despite entering the fixture with just two points from their recent run of form.
Independiente Medellin averaged 1.09 expected goals per game compared to Deportivo Pasto’s 0.89, indicating they created fewer clear-cut chances. In possession, Deportivo Pasto dominated with 56 per cent of the ball against their opponents’ 47 per cent.
Over thirteen meetings in recent years, Deportivo Pasto had won only three times against Independiente Medellin, who claimed six victories. The most recent encounter in July ended 3-2 to the visitors. Independiente Medellín’s attacking threat has been significant, with J. Montano leading their scorers with seven goals in the last six months, while Deportivo Pasto relied on Andrey Estupiñán Quiñonez, who has netted five.
Medellín’s perfect start is over. Pasto have conceded eight goals in five games.