Elfsborg — Häcken II: match prediction

Elfsborg to win. The gulf between 34 points and 4 points after 15 matches is not a gap that closes in one afternoon, and the recent head-to-head record confirms it: Häcken II have failed to score in two of the last three meetings against Elfsborg, losing 0:1 and 0:2. The most likely score is 2:0 at 14%.

Elfsborg sit third with ten wins, four draws and only one defeat. Häcken II occupy 14th place with a single victory and thirteen losses. That is a difference of 30 points, and while the league table does not predict the future, it describes a team that has not found a way to compete and another that has mastered the basics of Elitettan.

Elfsborg have scored 11 goals in their last five matches while conceding just three. Häcken II have managed eight goals for and ten against in the same period, and their defensive record has been particularly fragile: they conceded 25% of their goals in the 46-60 minute window and 31% after the 75th minute. When a team concedes so heavily in the second half, it suggests a drop in concentration rather than tactical failure, and against a side like Elfsborg that scores 36% of their goals after the 76th minute, that is a vulnerability to exploit.

The recent head-to-head results are worth noting. On 23 May 2026 Häcken II lost 0:1 at home. On 31 October 2025 they lost 0:2 at home. The only win for Häcken II came on 1 August 2025 when Elfsborg were the visitors and lost 0:1. Two of the last three meetings have ended with Häcken II failing to score.

I expect Elfsborg to win.