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Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Esbjerg
Vendsyssel FF
Prediction for
Win: Esbjerg
39%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
39%
1
25%
X
36%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 16:49- Эсбьерг — 10. place, 4 points after 5 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses)
- Вендессель — 9. place, 5 points after 5 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)
- Эсбьерг, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Вендессель, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Эсбьерг — 1, Вендессель — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Esbjerg
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Vendsyssel FF
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 9
2Esbjerg
4Draw
3Vendsyssel FF
- 21 FebEsbjerg — Vendsyssel FF0:1
- 1 Dec 2024Vendsyssel FF — Esbjerg2:0
- 17 Aug 2024Esbjerg — Vendsyssel FF3:1
- 15 May 2022Esbjerg — Vendsyssel FF2:2
- 17 Apr 2022Vendsyssel FF — Esbjerg0:0
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 16:49The model backs the hosts
Esbjerg are the selection to win, with a confidence level of 39%. While the table places Vendsyssel FF one point above Esbjerg, the statistical profile suggests the home side can exploit that weakness. The model expects 1.4 goals for each team, pointing to a tight contest where home advantage may tip the balance.
Recent results show a pattern
Form has been inconsistent for both sides. Vendsyssel FF have taken ten points from their last five games, with three wins and a draw, but they also suffered a 0:3 loss at home to AB København. The hosts’ ability to score in bursts, particularly between the 31st and 60th minutes, offers a path to victory against a visitors’ side that struggles to maintain pressure away from home.
Visitors hold the edge
Head-to-head history does not favour Esbjerg. In the last six meetings, Vendsyssel FF have won twice and drawn twice, while the hosts have claimed one victory. However, Esbjerg’s home record in the league is not entirely barren, and the model accounts for the possibility of a turnaround if the hosts can contain the visitors’ early attacks.
Discipline could decide the match
Player availability adds another layer of complexity. Esbjerg’s Muamer Brajanac carries four yellow cards and sits one booking away from a suspension, a risk that could force a tactical adjustment. Vendsyssel FF’s B. Clemmensen has already seen red this season, adding to the potential for disruption. The model projects a 57% chance that both teams find the net, with a 53% probability of three or more goals. A high-scoring affair seems likely, with Esbjerg’s defensive frailties potentially leading to an open game.
When the prediction fails
The conclusion stops holding if Esbjerg fail to capitalise on their scoring periods. Should Vendsyssel FF manage to keep a clean sheet or score early, the hosts’ defensive vulnerabilities could prove fatal. The model does not account for sudden momentum shifts, but the statistical profile leans towards a narrow home win.