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FC Midtjylland vs Brondby: match prediction on 14 September 2026

Superliga MCH Arena Herning Miss Match page
FC Midtjylland Brondby

Prediction for

Win: Brondby

38%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

36% 1
26% X
38% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 18:13

Midtjylland host Brondby in a Superliga clash that looks set for a cagey draw. The visitors have dominated this fixture historically, and their recent form—despite two defeats—suggests they remain dangerous.

Midtjylland have not lost in seven league matches, accumulating 15 points from their opening campaign. Their last five games produced three wins and two draws, including a 7-0 cup victory away at Sundby and a 2-0 win at Aarhus GF. They have scored 16 goals in those five matches while conceding just four. Midtjylland sit second, unbeaten in seven.

Brondby sit fifth with 13 points, two behind the hosts. Their last five matches yielded three wins and two losses, with no draws. They lost 3-0 at home to Randers FC and 3-1 away at Nordsjælland in consecutive defeats, ending a run of three wins. They have scored nine goals in those five games and conceded nine, a stark contrast to their earlier results where they beat Silkeborg 3-1 and AC Horsens 2-0 away.

Brondby have won nine of 14 recent meetings, while Midtjylland have claimed four.

Midtjylland’s attack projects 1.3 goals per game, edging Brondby’s sub-one average. A 1-1 scoreline carries a 12% probability, followed by 0-1 and 1-0 at 9% each. Both teams to score is likely at 55%, while over three goals stands at 51%. Midtjylland have conceded 21% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minute and 39% in the final 15 minutes. Brøndby have conceded 25% in each of those periods.

Midtjylland’s early defensive record makes a tight first half likely. They have conceded only 5% of goals in the first 45 minutes and 8% between 46 and 60 minutes. Midtjylland’s defensive record suggests a tight first half, but either side can break the deadlock.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 18:13
  • Мидтьюлланн — 2. place, 15 points after 7 games (4 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
  • Брондбю — 5. place, 13 points after 7 games (4 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
  • Мидтьюлланн, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
  • Брондбю, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 14 games, Мидтьюлланн — 4, 1 draws, Брондбю — 9

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

FC Midtjylland DWDWW 3 wins · 2 draws
Brondby WLLLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 25

10FC Midtjylland 2Draw 13Brondby
All head-to-head

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