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FC Porto B vs Vizela: match prediction on 14 September 2026
FC Porto B
Vizela
Prediction for
Win: Vizela
42%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
31%
1
27%
X
42%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 08:28- Порту B — 16. place, 3 points after 5 games (1 wins, 4 losses)
- Визела — 4. place, 10 points after 5 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Порту B, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Визела, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Порту B — 1, Визела — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
FC Porto B
LWLLD
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Vizela
DWWDW
3 wins · 2 draws
Head to head 6
2FC Porto B
1Draw
3Vizela
- 25 JanFC Porto B — Vizela1:0
- 16 Aug 2025Vizela — FC Porto B4:0
- 3 May 2025FC Porto B — Vizela0:1
- 21 Dec 2024Vizela — FC Porto B2:1
- 7 Feb 2021Vizela — FC Porto B0:0
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 08:28Form and Table
Vizela sit fourth on 10 points after five matches, while FC Porto B languish in 16th place with just three. Vizela ride momentum; Porto B stall. Vizela have won three of their last five games, including a clean sheet against Felgueiras 1932 on 6 September. Porto B have lost four of their last five, dropping points in every match except a 1-0 away victory over Feirense.
Head-to-Head
History favours the visitors despite a recent setback. Vizela won three of the last four meetings, though Porto B snatched a 1-0 win at home in January 2024. Before that, Vizela secured a 4-0 victory at home and a 2-1 win away in December 2024. The pattern suggests Vizela control the narrative when they impose their style, but Porto B can bite at home.
Model Projections
The model projects Vizela to score 1.4 goals on average, compared to 1.1 for Porto B. A draw carries a 27% probability, while both teams scoring sits at 51%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, followed by a 0-1 victory for Vizela.
Timing and Vulnerability
Both sides show vulnerabilities in specific periods. Vizela concede 35% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of a match, a statistic that could prove costly against a Porto B side scoring 36% of their own goals in that same window. Porto B also struggle in the middle periods, with only 7% of their goals coming between the 46th and 60th minutes.
Outcome and Conditions
Vizela take all three points. Miss early or let Porto B settle, and the match flips. A late collapse would also undermine the prediction, given their defensive record in the closing stages.