Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (42)
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 1
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 08:47Fortuna Hjørring are set to win and advance from this European tie. They lead 2–0 from the first leg in Zagreb and have built a stronger recent record, taking 10 points from five matches compared with Hajduk Split's 3 from three.
Fortuna's last five results read 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss. They beat AGF 3–0 at home, won 4–1 away at Copenhagen and 2–0 away at Hajduk Split on 26 August. The only blemish was a 1–2 defeat at Aarhus on 29 August after a goalless draw with Midtjylland. They have scored 10 goals and conceded just 3 in that span.
Hajduk Split have managed 1 win and 2 losses in their last three fixtures. They beat Mura 2–0 away on 8 August but lost 0–2 at home to Fortuna and 2–3 away at Austria Wien. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5 in those matches.
The first leg on 26 August was played in Zagreb and ended 0–2 to Fortuna. Hajduk will need to attack from the start, but they have struggled away from home this season. L. Kukavica carries 3 yellow cards and is one booking away from suspension.
Fortuna score heavily in the opening half. They net 18% of their goals in the first 15 minutes, 24% between 16 and 30 minutes, and 18% in the final 15 minutes of the half. They are vulnerable between 61 and 75 minutes, where they have conceded 44% of their goals, but Hajduk have not shown sustained pressure in that window in recent matches.
The odds opened at 1.25 for a home win and moved to 1.27, while Hajduk's price shortened from 8.57 to 8.01. A draw would suit the visitors and would be the main scenario that overturns this conclusion, but Hajduk have not won away in their last three European outings and have failed to find the net in two of those matches.