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Genoa vs Como: match prediction on 4 September 2026

Serie A Luigi Ferraris Genoa Hit Match page
Genoa Como

Prediction for

Win: Como

53%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

18% 1
27% X
56% 2

Average bookmaker line (49)

5.39 1
3.56 X
1.70 2

Odds range

1.65 — 1.76

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 2 Sep, 19:49

Como won 2-0 against Genoa on Friday, ending a run of six meetings without a defeat for the visitors. The away side moved to 5 points in seventh place, while Genoa dropped to 14th with just 1 point from three matches.

Odds moved as expected. Como's price had shortened from 1.82 to 1.70 on the day, while Genoa's odds drifted from 4.97 to 5.38. The model tipped 1-0. The 2-0 scoreline slipped past it.

Como arrived in superior form, having won two and drawn three of their previous five games without losing. Genoa, by contrast, had suffered four defeats in their last five competitive fixtures. Como’s stability outshone Genoa’s slump, which included a heavy 10-1 friendly loss to Bournemouth in August.

Statistically, Como averaged 58% possession and 4.75 shots on target, compared to Genoa's 53% and 3.14. Genoa hit 27% of their goals late, but Como’s back line held firm.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 2 Sep, 19:49
  • Дженоа — 16. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
  • Комо — 7. place, 4 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Дженоа, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Комо, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Дженоа — 0, 4 draws, Комо — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Genoa LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses
Como DDDWW 2 wins · 3 draws

Head to head 6

0Genoa 4Draw 2Como
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

49 bookmakers counted
1.70 Average bookmaker line
1.65 — 1.76 Odds range

More predictions

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+