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Gomel II vs Dinamo Minsk II: match prediction on 18 September 2026

Pershaya Liga Central Stadium Izhevsk Hit Match page
Gomel II Dinamo Minsk II

Prediction for

Win: Dinamo Minsk II

55%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

23% 1
22% X
55% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 08:29

Dinamo Minsk II to win. The visitors carry an 11-point advantage over their hosts and have shown far better momentum in recent weeks. Gomel II have lost four of five, conceding 14. Dinamo Minsk II won two of five, including a 3-2 away at Smorgon. The model backs the away side with 55% confidence.

Gomel II are in a relegation battle, sitting in 16th place with 21 points from 24 matches, while Dinamo Minsk II occupy 11th with 32 points. Both sides have three fixtures remaining. The hosts face pressure, whereas the visitors have mid-table security and are pushing for a better finish. In recent form, Gomel II have lost four of five, conceding 14. Dinamo Minsk II won two of five, including a 3-2 away at Smorgon, and look steadier with a record of two wins, one draw, and two losses in the same period.

Their head-to-head record includes a 1:0 home win for Dinamo Minsk II in April 2024, a 2:0 home victory for Gomel II in August 2024, and a 2:2 draw in May 2024 at Dinamo Minsk II's ground. The statistical model projects Dinamo Minsk II to score 2.0 goals on average, with Gomel II expected to find the net 1.2 times. The model projects a 22% chance of a draw and a 60% probability both teams score. Three or more goals are expected in 61% of simulated matches.

The most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 10%, 1:2 at 10%, and 0:1 at 8%. Dinamo Minsk II's attacking pattern shows 38% of their goals arrive in the final 15 minutes, while Gomel II concede 26% of their goals in that same period. Back Dinamo Minsk II. Expect a tight match decided late.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 08:29
  • Гомель II — 16. place, 21 points after 24 games (5 wins, 6 draws, 13 losses)
  • Динамо Минск II — 11. place, 32 points after 24 games (9 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses)
  • Гомель II, last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
  • Динамо Минск II, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Гомель II — 1, 1 draws, Динамо Минск II — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Gomel II LDLLL 1 draw · 4 losses
Dinamo Minsk II WWLDW 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 3

1Gomel II 1Draw 1Dinamo Minsk II
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+