HamKam vs Kristiansund BK: match prediction on 30 August 2026

HamKam to win at Briskeby Stadion on 30 August, confidence 55%. The home side carry a seven-point advantage over their visitors and have dominated recent meetings between these two, winning three of the last six encounters while Kristiansund BK managed just one victory. HamKam's expected goals stand at 1.7 against Kristiansund's 1.0, and the most probable scorelines—1:0 and 2:0—both point to a home victory.

Table position and recent form

HamKam sit 10th in the Eliteserien with 22 points from 17 matches, while Kristiansund BK occupy 14th place with 15 points. The visitors have lost 10 of their 17 games. HamKam's last five matches across all competitions produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, including a 5:0 cup victory over Trysil Fk away on 23 August. Kristiansund BK won two of their last five but lost three, with defeats to Fredrikstad 0:1 and KFUM Oslo 1:2 in the league.

History between the sides

Of the six meetings since October 2024, HamKam have won three, Kristiansund BK one, and two ended level. The most recent league fixture on 3 May 2025 finished 1:1 at Kristiansund BK's ground, but HamKam won 2:1 at home in March 2025 and 1:0 in October 2024.

When each side is dangerous

HamKam score heavily in the 31-45 minute period, accounting for 32% of their 19 goals, and add another 26% between 46-60 minutes. Kristiansund BK show a different pattern, with 47% of their 15 goals arriving after 76 minutes and 20% in the opening 15 minutes.

What the model expects

The simulation gives a 24% probability for a draw and 50% for both teams to score. Three or more goals are expected in 49% of cases. The most likely outcomes are 1:0 at 12%, 1:1 at 12% and 2:0 at 10%. A draw suits the visitors—they have shown they can frustrate opponents, as the 1:1 in May demonstrated. The conclusion stops holding unless Kristiansund get an early goal and pin HamKam back, forcing the home side to chase the game.