Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Hapoel Acre
Ashdod
Prediction for
Win: Ashdod
97%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 17:13The gap between fourth place and the bottom of the table is measured in form, and Ashdod have taken nine points from four matches while Hapoel Acre have taken none. The model expects 4.5 goals for the visitors against 0.3 for the hosts, and the three most likely scorelines—0:4, 0:5, 0:3—all show a clean sheet for Ashdod.
Hapoel Acre have lost every game this season. Four defeats, 16 goals conceded, two scored. Their last result before the break was a 2:2 draw with Hapoel Nof HaGalil on 25 May; since then they have lost 0:2, 0:4, 0:3, and 0:5. The only positive is that they score 32% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes, but this season they have not managed to put one past anyone in that window.
Ashdod have won three of four, losing only to Hapoel Afula away from home. Their most recent match was a 4:0 victory at home against Hapoel Kfar Shalem, and they have kept two clean sheets in the process. They tend to find their rhythm between the 16th and 30th minute, when 27% of their goals arrive, and they have not conceded a single goal between the 61st and 75th minute all season.
Ashdod win if they keep their shape and hit the break. A draw suits the visitors—they can control the clock and see out a narrow lead—and that is the main threat to this prediction. If Hapoel Acre score early and then defend deep, Ashdod may settle for a point rather than chase a third goal.