Champions League
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Hapoel Hadera
Maccabi Ashdod
Prediction for
Win: Hapoel Hadera
80%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 22 Sep, 18:31Hapoel Hadera defeated Maccabi Ashdod 4-0 in the Liga Alef on 24 September 2026. The match carried an 87% probability of three or more total goals.
Hapoel Hadera controlled the tempo from the opening whistle. They recorded 53% possession compared to Maccabi Ashdod’s 45%, while the visitors averaged 4.3 on target recently, against Hadera’s 4.8. They missed both chances. Maccabi Ashdod have not won any of their last five matches, drawing four and losing once, including a 1-2 defeat to Hapoel Herzliya on 3 September. Hapoel Hadera entered the fixture with eight points from five games, having won against Kfar Saba 1928 on 17 September.
The scoring pattern for Hapoel Hadera in this match followed their seasonal trend: 32% of their goals arrive in the first half and 26% in the final 15 minutes. Maccabi Ashdod, by contrast, have scored 0% of their eight goals in the 76-90 minute window. The visitors created only 64.4 attacks on average per game in the last 10 matches, compared to 126.8 for the hosts. B. Khuri leads the attack with seven goals in the last six months, while Maccabi Ashdod’s A. Pavlopoulos has only one.
The three-point gain lifts Hapoel Hadera further clear of the bottom two, while Maccabi Ashdod remain on four points from five games. Hapoel Hadera have now won two of their last five league fixtures, ending a run that included a 0-1 away loss to Hapoel Marmorek.