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HFX Wanderers FC vs York 9 FC: match prediction on 20 September 2026

Canadian Premier League Wanderers Grounds Halifax Hit Match page
HFX Wanderers FC York 9 FC

Prediction for

Win: HFX Wanderers FC

52%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49% 1
25% X
26% 2

Average bookmaker line (10)

1.84 1
3.64 X
3.51 2

Odds range

1.75 — 1.88

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 18 Sep, 20:04

Both teams entered the match level on 23 points, with HFX Wanderers FC sitting fifth after 22 games and York 9 FC in sixth place after 20.

Statistical models had projected a narrow home advantage, estimating expected goals of 2.0 for the hosts and 1.3 for the visitors. The odds reflected this sentiment, with HFX Wanderers FC priced at 1.83 and York 9 FC at 3.50.

Defensive resilience

Both sides displayed a defensive approach that negated their typical attacking output. HFX Wanderers FC averaged 3.8 shots on target per match over their last ten games, while York 9 FC managed 3.5. In this encounter, the lack of clear-cut chances suggests a tactical shift away from their usual high-scoring patterns. York 9 had conceded 38 goals in 20 matches, averaging 1.9 per game, while HFX Wanderers had let in 34 in 22 matches, averaging 1.54. The clean sheet indicates a significant improvement in defensive solidity for both clubs compared to their seasonal averages.

The head-to-head record between these two sides has been characterised by tight contests, with four draws in the last six meetings. The most recent encounter saw York 9 FC win 4-3 at home, highlighting the volatility of their results against one another. HFX Wanderers FC’ recent form included two wins and three losses, while York 9 had recorded one win and three draws in their previous five outings.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 18 Sep, 20:04
  • Вандерерс XFX — 5. place, 23 points after 22 games (6 wins, 5 draws, 11 losses)
  • Йорк 9 — 6. place, 23 points after 20 games (5 wins, 8 draws, 7 losses)
  • Вандерерс XFX, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Йорк 9, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 16 games, Вандерерс XFX — 5, 5 draws, Йорк 9 — 6

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

HFX Wanderers FC LLWWL 2 wins · 3 losses
York 9 FC DWLDL 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 26

7HFX Wanderers FC 11Draw 8York 9 FC
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

10 bookmakers counted
1.84 Average bookmaker line
1.75 — 1.88 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+