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Holywell vs Trefelin: match prediction on 4 September 2026

Premier League Bartons North Wales Stadium Holywell Miss Match page
Holywell Trefelin

Prediction for

Win: Holywell

47%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

47% 1
21% X
32% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 2 Sep, 19:49

Draw at the Bottom

Holywell and Trefelin played out a 1-1 draw in the Premier League on Thursday evening, a result that leaves both sides at the foot of the table. Late goals confirmed the poor form of the two lowest-ranked teams in the league.

The game was a low-scoring affair, reflecting the struggles both teams have faced in front of goal. Holywell’s habit of leaking late goals matched Trefelin’s habit of scoring in the final third. Trefelin had scored 27 per cent of their league goals in the 76-90 minute window, while Holywell allowed 23 per cent of their total conceded goals in the same period. The bookies priced it as a goal-fest. It wasn’t.

Both sides came into the fixture with significant disciplinary issues. Holywell had players J. Cook and D. Sullivan with red cards in their recent history, while Trefelin had Owen and J. Davies sent off in their previous two league matches. Trefelin’s top scorers, J. Jones and L. Bowen, each have seven goals in the league, but they were unable to break through Holywell’s defence to take all three points.

The result keeps both teams in the relegation zone. Holywell remains in 16th place with zero points, while Trefelin sits in 15th place with one point. Holywell’s attack struggled to find consistency against a Trefelin side that had only conceded 27 goals in their last five fixtures. The draw served as a minor reprieve for Holywell’s record, but the pressure remains intense as they look to end their winless streak.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 2 Sep, 19:49
  • Холиуэлл — 16. place, 0 points after 6 games (0 wins, 6 losses)
  • Трефелин — 15. place, 1 points after 6 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 5 losses)
  • Холиуэлл, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Трефелин, last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Holywell LLLLD 1 draw · 4 losses
Trefelin LLDLD 2 draws · 3 losses

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+