Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân: match prediction on 8 October 2026

Công An Nhân Dân to win, 65%. The visitors arrive with four victories in five matches and a 5:0 record against this opposition from September 2024, while the hosts have managed just three points from their last five outings. The model expects 1.8 goals for the Vietnamese side against 1.1 for Home United, and the most probable scoreline is 1:2 at 10%.

Home United have not won any of their last five matches, drawing three and losing two. Their recent results include a 1:1 draw with Bangkok Glass in the AFC Cup on 17 September, a 2:2 away draw with Hougang United on 12 September, and a 1:1 home draw with Xerez Deportivo on 25 August.

Công An Nhân Dân have won four of their last five matches, losing only once. Their most recent fixture was a 3:0 away victory over Bình Phước on 20 September. The sole defeat came against Gamba Osaka 4:1 away in the AFC Champions League on 15 September.

The two sides met once on 26 September 2024, with Công An Nhân Dân winning 5:0 in the ASEAN Club Championship. The model projects expected goals of 1.1 for Home United and 1.8 for the visitors. The draw probability stands at 26%, both teams to score at 58%, and three or more goals at 56%. The three likely scorelines are 1:1 at 12%, 1:2 at 10%, and 0:2 at 9%.

Công An Nhân Dân conceded 24% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, suggesting a tendency to concede late goals.