ÍR Reykjavík vs Leiknir R.: match prediction on 5 September 2026

ÍR Reykjavík are priced at 1.73 for victory against Leiknir R., and the model's expected goals of 2.1 to 1.3 point toward the home side. The line has not moved since opening across 27 bookmakers, and the market assigns a 52% probability to the hosts winning.

The two sides sit three points apart in the table. Leiknir R. hold 28 points from 21 matches in sixth place, while ÍR Reykjavík have 26 points in ninth. Both teams have played 21 fixtures and share identical records of seven wins, five draws and nine defeats — ÍR — against eight wins, four draws and nine losses for Leiknir.

Recent form offers little to distinguish them. ÍR Reykjavík have won three and lost two of their last five, scoring ten and conceding eight. Leiknir R. have also won three and lost two, but their tally reads 12 goals scored and five conceded. The visitors have been more ruthless in attack and tighter at the back, yet both sides have taken nine points from the same number of games.

Head-to-head history is evenly split. In seven meetings over recent years, ÍR Reykjavík have won three, Leiknir R. three, and there has been one draw. The most recent encounter ended 2:1 to Leiknir R. on 26 June 2026, but before that ÍR Reykjavík won 1:0 at home in June 2025.

The model expects ÍR Reykjavík to score 2.1 goals on average and Leiknir R. 1.3. The most likely scoreline is 2:1 at 10%, followed by 1:1 at 9% and 2:0 at 8%. Both teams to score is priced at 63%, and three or more goals at 65%. The model breaks down if Leiknir R. replicate the 2:1 result from June without conceding.