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Italy vs Turkey: match prediction on 5 October 2026

UEFA Nations League Stadio Olimpico Rome Pending Match page
Italy Turkey

Prediction for

Slight edge: Italy

46%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

46% 1
26% X
28% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Reasoning

Based on data as of 4 Oct, 19:45
  • Италия — 3. place, 4 points after 3 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
  • Турция — 4. place, 0 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
  • Италия, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
  • Турция, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Италия — 1, 1 draws, Турция — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Italy WWLWD 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Turkey LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 4

3Italy 1Draw 0Turkey
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+