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Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
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Khatlon vs Regar-TadAZ: match prediction on 17 September 2026
Khatlon
Regar-TadAZ
Prediction for
Win: Regar-TadAZ
39%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
31%
1
30%
X
39%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 01:13- Хатлон — 6. place, 20 points after 16 games (4 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses)
- Регар-ТадАЗ — 2. place, 34 points after 16 games (10 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses)
- Хатлон, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses
- Регар-ТадАЗ, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Хатлон — 2, 3 draws, Регар-ТадАЗ — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Khatlon
WDDDL
1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss
Regar-TadAZ
WWLDW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 11
3Khatlon
3Draw
5Regar-TadAZ
- 24 AprRegar-TadAZ — Khatlon3:2
- 5 Oct 2025Regar-TadAZ — Khatlon1:1
- 9 Aug 2025Regar-TadAZ — Khatlon0:2
- 28 Mar 2025Khatlon — Regar-TadAZ1:1
- 28 Jun 2024Khatlon — Regar-TadAZ1:0
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 01:13Regar-TadAZ to avoid defeat — 65% confidence.
The visitors carry a 14-point advantage over Khatlon after 16 matches, and the model favours a narrow away result. Regar-TadAZ sit third with 34 points while Khatlon languish in eighth on 20. The most probable scoreline is 0:1 at 14%, followed by 1:1 at 13%.
Khatlon have not lost in five league games — one win, four draws — collecting seven points from 11 goals scored and nine conceded. Their form includes a 3:3 draw away to Sardor Tursunzoda on 11 September and a 4:2 home victory over Eskhata. Yet the pattern of results suggests caution rather than momentum.
Regar-TadAZ's recent run is sharper. Three wins, one draw, one defeat in their last five matches brought ten points and just one goal conceded. They beat Parvoz 3:0 at home on 18 August and won 3:0 away to Maziya in the AFC Challenge League on 12 August. The defense has tightened considerably.
Head-to-head records show Regar-TadAZ with four wins in nine meetings, Khatlon two, and three draws. The most recent encounter ended 3:2 to Regar-TadAZ on 24 April 2026. Khatlon won 2:0 away in August 2025, but the overall balance favours the visitors.
Khatlon score heavily between the 16th and 30th minute — 33% of their goals — but go 15 minutes without scoring between the 61st and 75th. Regar-TadAZ strike late: 56% of their goals arrive after the 76th minute. This timing split could prove decisive.
The conclusion stops holding if Khatlon exploit the visitors' vulnerability in the final quarter. Regar-TadAZ concede half their goals between the 61st and 90th minute, and a sustained home pressure could shift the balance.