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Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Club de Montevideo: match prediction on 21 September 2026

Primera División - Apertura Estadio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera Montevideo Miss Match page
Liverpool Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo

Prediction for

Win: Liverpool Montevideo

45%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

41% 1
30% X
29% 2

Average bookmaker line (41)

2.24 1
3.02 X
3.18 2

Odds range

2.16 — 2.30

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 19 Sep, 00:04

Liverpool and Racing Club have drawn in four of their last five meetings, including a 0-0 in May 2026. Head-to-head history shows 9 matches with 1 win for Liverpool, 6 draws, and 2 wins for Racing Club, and this latest fixture followed the pattern of a stalemate.

Liverpool Montevideo controlled 53 per cent of possession compared to Racing Club’s 51 per cent. The home side attempted 5.1 shots on target on average in their recent form, while Racing Club managed 4.11. Liverpool also had a higher average of 6.9 corners per match compared to Racing Club’s 4.8.

Racing Club lead on points but have played double the fixtures. Racing Club de Montevideo sat in 1st place with 31 points from 15 matches, having won 9, drawn 4, and lost 2. Liverpool Montevideo was listed in 2nd place with 13 points from only 6 matches, showing a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Both teams were competing in the Copa Uruguay, with Racing Club suffering heavy defeats against Juventud and Central Espanol in September, while Liverpool had drawn with Cerro Largo and won against Fenix in their last five outings.

Liverpool Montevideo had seen two red cards in the last three weeks, issued to K. Amaro and Diego Martín Zabala Morales. In contrast, Racing Club de Montevideo had no red cards reported in the same period. Key players such as Rúben Daniel Bentancourt Morales for Liverpool and S. da Silva for Racing Club were approaching booking bans, having accumulated 7 and 4 yellow cards respectively.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 19 Sep, 00:04
  • Ливерпуль Монтевидео — 9. place, 20 points after 15 games (5 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses)
  • Расинг Клуб Монтевидео — 1. place, 31 points after 15 games (9 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses)
  • Ливерпуль Монтевидео, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Расинг Клуб Монтевидео, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, Ливерпуль Монтевидео — 1, 6 draws, Расинг Клуб Монтевидео — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Liverpool Montevideo LWLDW 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Racing Club de Montevideo LLWLD 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 9

1Liverpool Montevideo 6Draw 2Racing Club de Montevideo
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

41 bookmakers counted
2.24 Average bookmaker line
2.16 — 2.30 Odds range

More predictions

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+