Lokomotíva Košice vs Slávia TU Košice: match prediction on 2 September 2026

Lokomotíva Košice to win. The model projects 2.7 expected goals for the home side against 1.2 for the visitors, a gap backed by Lokomotíva's recent scoring output: 12 goals in five matches compared to Slávia's 7.

Lokomotíva Košice's last five matches read 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss. They opened the campaign with a 4:0 victory over Čaňa in the Cup on 19 August, then followed with a 6:0 friendly win against Kechnec. The two draws came against Kisvárda II and Humenné, while the defeat was a 3:0 home loss to Lipany. The attack has been active — 12 goals across those five games — and the defence has held firm in the Cup fixture.

Slávia TU Košice have been more aggressive in results but less prolific in scoring. Three wins and two losses in their last five outings yield 9 points and 7 goals scored. The most recent was a 3:0 away win over Kechnec in the Cup on 19 August. They also beat Spartak Medzev 1:0 at home and Inter Bratislava 2:1 at home, but lost 4:0 away to Žilina II and 2:1 away to Lokomotíva Zvolen. The goal distribution is uneven — 27% of their goals arrive between the 31st and 45th minute, while 33% of goals conceded come between the 16th and 30th minute.

These sides have met twice in cup competition. On 23 August 2023 they drew 1:1 at Lokomotíva's ground. The previous encounter on 16 September 2020 ended 1:2 in Slávia's favour. Lokomotíva have not lost at home in this fixture, and Slávia have never won here. The pattern suggests a tight contest where home advantage matters.

The simulation gives Lokomotíva 2.7 expected goals and Slávia 1.2. The draw probability sits at 17%, both teams to score at 65%, and three or more goals at 74%. The three most likely outcomes are 2:1 (9%), 3:1 (8%), and 2:0 (7%). Lokomotíva's attacking figures — 10 shots on target and 62% possession in their only available match — support the higher expected goals figure.

This prediction stops holding if Slávia exploit their weakness in the 16th to 30th minute. A quick start from the visitors could shift momentum before Lokomotíva settle into their preferred possession game. A draw also suits Slávia given how they manage games, and that remains the main threat to the home win.