Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Acre: match prediction on 17 September 2026

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth to win. The visitors have failed to score in five league matches across 18 goals conceded, and the home side has beaten them twice in their last two meetings. The conclusion stops holding if Hapoel Acre scores first — they are vulnerable defensively, but a lead would force Maccabi to manage the game rather than press.

Hapoel Acre sit bottom of Liga Leumit with zero points from five matches. Five straight defeats. 18 conceded. None scored.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth occupy 14th place with four points from five games. They drew 3:3 away at Hapoel Kfar Shalem on 10 September, lost 1:2 at home to Maccabi Bnei Raina, then won 2:1 away at Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa. The home record is mixed — two losses from two matches played at their own ground. They have scored six goals and conceded nine, a ratio that suggests occasional vulnerability.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth won both of their last two encounters — 2:0 at home on 19 September 2022 and 2:0 away on 17 January 2023. Before that they won 4:1 at home in April 2022 and 1:0 in January 2022. Hapoel Acre's only victory in that span came 3:1 at home in October 2021. The visitors have not won here in seven years, and the recent meetings show Maccabi controlling the scoreline.

Projections: 1.8 to 1.0. The draw probability sits at 23%, both teams to score at 52%, and three or more goals at 52%. The most likely scorelines are 1:0 at 11%, 1:1 at 11%, and 2:0 at 10%. Maccabi score 40% of their goals between the 16th and 30th minute and 30% between the 61st and 75th. Hapoel Acre concede 30% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minute, a window that could prove decisive.

This outcome depends on Maccabi converting their chances and Hapoel remaining unable to find the net. If the visitors score first, the dynamic shifts — Maccabi would need to chase rather than control, and Hapoel could exploit spaces behind. A draw suits the visitors, and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat.