ELJ
Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Mbarara City vs Entebbe UPPC: match prediction on 16 September 2026
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
Prediction for
Win: Entebbe UPPC
42%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
25%
1
33%
X
42%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 14:13- Мбарара Сити — 14. place, 1 points after 2 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Энтеббе УППК — 5. place, 6 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
- Мбарара Сити, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Энтеббе УППК, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Мбарара Сити — 0, 1 draws, Энтеббе УППК — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Mbarara City
WLLDD
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Entebbe UPPC
WWWLD
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 2
0Mbarara City
1Draw
1Entebbe UPPC
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 14:13The visitors have not lost in two meetings and carry superior form into this fixture.
Mbarara have shipped eight goals in two matches.
The head-to-head record cuts in Entebbe's favour. They beat Mbarara 1:0 in February and held a 1:1 draw in December. Entebbe are unbeaten in two meetings.
Mbarara's single point places them in the lower half of the standings. Entebbe's six points put them well clear of the relegation battle, sitting in mid-table territory with a positive trajectory.
The model expects Mbarara to score 0.7 xG and Entebbe 1.0 xG. The draw probability sits at 33%, both teams to score at 32%. The three most likely outcomes are 0:1 at 18%, 0:0 at 18% and 1:1 at 13%. Entebbe's attack has been productive while Mbarara's defense has struggled, conceding 13 goals across their recent matches.
Entebbe concede 58% of their goals in the first half. They have conceded 29% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes and another 29% between 16 and 30 minutes, suggesting vulnerability early on. If Mbarara score first and Entebbe fail to respond, the conclusion stops holding.
Entebbe UPPC double chance (win or draw): 65% confidence