Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Neman vs Slavia Mozyr: match prediction on 29 August 2026
Neman
Slavia Mozyr
Prediction for
Win: Neman
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
47%
1
28%
X
25%
2
Average bookmaker line (24)
1.92
1
3.23
X
3.66
2
Odds range
1.85 — 1.98
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 23:11- Неман — 8. place, 27 points after 18 games (8 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses)
- Славия Мозырь — 10. place, 22 points after 18 games (5 wins, 7 draws, 6 losses)
- Неман, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Славия Мозырь, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 11 games, Неман — 7, 2 draws, Славия Мозырь — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Neman
LWWWD
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Slavia Mozyr
WDLWL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 16
8Neman
5Draw
3Slavia Mozyr
- 24 AprSlavia Mozyr — Neman0:0
- 25 Oct 2025Slavia Mozyr — Neman2:1
- 31 May 2025Neman — Slavia Mozyr1:2
- 29 Sep 2024Neman — Slavia Mozyr1:0
- 12 May 2024Slavia Mozyr — Neman0:1
Bookmaker market
24
bookmakers counted
1.92
Average bookmaker line
1.85 — 1.98
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 23:11I'm backing Neman to win this, and the numbers point that way. The model puts home expected goals at 1.5 against 0.9 for the visitors, while the 26% draw probability sits below what mid-table clashes typically produce. Neman's 14% shot on 1:0 is the single most likely outcome, and I see no reason to doubt that.
Recent form
Slavia Mozyr have been the hotter side recently with four wins and a draw in their last five, scoring 13 goals while conceding just two. Neman's 4-0-1 record in the same period includes a 0:1 defeat in the league to FC Vitebsk, but their 9:5 goal ratio tells a similar story of attacking intent. The difference is that Neman's losses have come away from home, while Slavia's draw was a 0:0 at home against FC Gomel.
Head-to-head record
Over the past five years these sides have met 11 times, with Neman winning seven, drawing twice, and losing twice. The last five meetings show a pattern: 0:0, 2:1, 1:2, 1:0, 0:1. Neman have won four of the five matches played at their ground, including a 1:0 victory in September 2024.
Scoring patterns
Neman score 48% of their goals in the final 15 minutes and concede 56% in the same period. Slavia Mozyr are different — they score 42% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minute and concede 57% in that window. If Neman hold firm through the middle third, they can exploit Slavia's vulnerability late. Slavia's 0% of goals conceded in the final 15 minutes is misleading — it reflects a small sample of seven total goals, not a structural strength.
Key scenario
This analysis rests on Slavia continuing their current defensive stability. If they concede early, their 43% of goals allowed in the 16-30 minute window suggests they can unravel quickly. A goal before the 20th minute changes everything — Neman would then play with space, and their 48% late-game scoring rate becomes far more dangerous. I'm not seeing that scenario, but it's the one that would flip this result.
Slavia's recent form is real, but the cup matches reduce its significance, and the timing data points to a tight game decided in the closing stages.