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Olympia Yerevan vs Shirak II: match prediction on 15 September 2026

First League Yerevan Hit Match page
Olympia Yerevan Shirak II

Prediction for

Win: Olympia Yerevan

80%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

80% 1
12% X
8% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 13 Sep, 13:13

Olympia Yerevan win, 82% confidence.

Olympia Yerevan have not lost a single match this season. The clash pits them against Shirak II, who sit in 11th place with just 4 points from 4 matches. One win, one draw and two defeats make up their record so far. Their last five games yield a different picture: one win, two draws and two losses, with 6 goals scored and 10 conceded. The model projects 0.9 expected goals for them.

The gap between the two sides is clear. Olympia lead by 12 points despite having played two more games. The model's most likely scorelines are 3:0 and 2:0, each at 9%, followed by 3:1 at 8%. A 76% chance of three or more goals in the match suggests Olympia's attack will find space.

A draw suits the visitors—Shirak II have shown they can grind out results when under pressure, with two draws in their last five. But the model puts that scenario at just 12%. The main threat is that Shirak II's ability to absorb pressure and counter could keep things tight.

Olympia must score early. Shirak II stay in matches if they survive the opening half.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 13 Sep, 13:13
  • Олимпия Ереван — 1. place, 16 points after 6 games (5 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Ширак II — 11. place, 4 points after 4 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
  • Олимпия Ереван, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
  • Ширак II, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Olympia Yerevan WWWWW 5 wins
Shirak II LDWLW 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+