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Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali: match prediction on 14 September 2026

Primera A Estadio Palogrande Manizales Pending Match page
Once Caldas Deportivo Cali

Prediction for

Win: Once Caldas

43%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

43% 1
29% X
27% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 00:13

Once Caldas defeated Deportivo Cali to extend their unbeaten run in head-to-head meetings to six games. The hosts, sitting fifth in the Primera A table with 33 points, secured the result against the ninth-placed visitors who accumulated 27 points from 19 matches.

Once Caldas held 55% possession and averaged 6.5 shots on target per game over the last 10 matches, whereas Deportivo Cali held 51% possession and generated 4.33 shots on target. Deportivo Cali had a higher expected goals average (1.16) compared to Once Caldas (1.08), yet the visitors could not convert their chances into a win. Once Caldas averaged fewer fouls (10.57) than Deportivo Cali (13.33).

Season statistics highlight the importance of the final period for Once Caldas. They scored 30% of their total goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, significantly higher than Deportivo Cali, who scored just 11% of their goals in the same timeframe. Conversely, Deportivo Cali were most dangerous between the 61st and 75th minutes, accounting for 26% of their goals, while Once Caldas scored 13% in that window. Both teams conceded a similar proportion of goals in the first half, with Once Caldas conceding 26% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of play compared to Deportivo Cali’s 20%.

Once Caldas have won eight, drawn nine, and lost two matches, while Deportivo Cali have won seven, drawn six, and lost six. The victory adds to the pressure on Deportivo Cali, who have only one win in their last five matches, compared to Once Caldas’ two wins in the same period.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 00:13
  • Онсе Кальдас — 5. place, 33 points after 19 games (8 wins, 9 draws, 2 losses)
  • Депортиво Кали — 9. place, 27 points after 19 games (7 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses)
  • Онсе Кальдас, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
  • Депортиво Кали, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, Онсе Кальдас — 5, 4 draws, Депортиво Кали — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Once Caldas DDWLW 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Deportivo Cali DLDWD 1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

Head to head 13

5Once Caldas 7Draw 1Deportivo Cali
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+