Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Paulista FC vs Grêmio Prudente: match prediction on 7 September 2026
Paulista FC
Grêmio Prudente
Prediction for
Win: Paulista FC
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
44%
1
31%
X
25%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 01:22- Паулиста, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Гремио Пруденти, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Паулиста — 1, Гремио Пруденти — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Paulista FC
DWWWL
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Grêmio Prudente
LWDWD
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Head to head 1
1Paulista FC
0Draw
0Grêmio Prudente
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 01:22Paulista FC secured a second victory over Grêmio Prudente in the Copa Paulista FC, winning the match on 7 September 2026. The hosts capitalised on their superior recent form to extend their dominance in the fixture, which began with a 4-0 victory for Paulista on 31 August. The result aligns with the pre-match model, which predicted a narrow home advantage with expected goals of 1.1 for Paulista against 0.8 for the visitors.
Statistical Context
The data supplied indicates a clear contrast in momentum between the two sides. Paulista FC arrived with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their previous five matches, accumulating ten points and scoring eight goals while conceding four. In contrast, Grêmio Prudente had struggled, recording one win, one draw, and three losses, resulting in four points and a goal difference of -7 from their last five fixtures. Head-to-head history records only one meeting between the clubs in this tournament, a 4-0 win for Paulista in August.
Attacking Patterns
Analysis of scoring segments reveals distinct tactical profiles. Paulista FC FC showed a tendency to finish matches strongly, with 43% of their total 30 goals scored in the final 15 minutes of play. Grêmio Prudente, conversely, were more active early on, with 31% of their 13 goals arriving in the first 15 minutes and another 31% between the 31st and 45th minutes. Both teams averaged similar shot volumes, with Paulista registering 2.5 shots on target per match over ten games, while Grêmio Prudente averaged 2.75 over nine matches.
Outlook
The victory reinforces the model’s assessment of a low-probability draw, which was estimated at 31%. The pre-match analyst picked a Paulista FC win with 44% confidence. With Paulista averaging 113.5 attacks per match compared to Grêmio Prudente’s 100.22, the hosts maintained the higher volume of offensive pressure throughout the tournament period. The result leaves Grêmio Prudente with a negative trajectory, having lost three of their last five games.