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Peñarol Montevideo vs Albion FC: match prediction on 13 September 2026

Primera División - Apertura Estadio Campeón del Siglo Montevideo Pending Match page
Peñarol Montevideo Albion FC

Prediction for

Win: Peñarol Montevideo

57%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

57% 1
26% X
17% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 23:33

Bookmakers priced Peñarol at 1.5 goals, Albion FC at 0.7.

The victory extends Peñarol’s unbeaten run in head-to-head meetings to four matches, having won three and drawn one since 2022.

In their last ten matches, Peñarol averaged 4.9 shots on target per game, significantly higher than Albion FC’s 3.11. Despite Albion holding 57% possession in recent fixtures compared to Peñarol’s 53%, they failed to penetrate the final third effectively. Douglas Martínez, Peñarol’s top scorer, has netted eight goals in six months.

They sit on 27 points from 15 matches, with a record of eight wins, three draws, and four losses. Albion FC FC, meanwhile, remain on 28 points from 15 games but have lost momentum, taking only four points from their last five outings. Their recent form includes three losses and a single win, contrasting sharply with Peñarol’s eight points from five games. Albion have conceded six goals in five matches. Peñarol have kept three clean sheets in that span.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 23:33
  • Пеньяроль — 4. place, 27 points after 15 games (8 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses)
  • Альбион — 3. place, 28 points after 15 games (8 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses)
  • Пеньяроль, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
  • Альбион, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Пеньяроль — 1, Альбион — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Peñarol Montevideo DWLDW 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Albion FC LDLWL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 4

3Peñarol Montevideo 1Draw 0Albion FC
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+