Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat: match prediction on 14 September 2026

Petrovac to win, 62% confidence.

The hosts have not lost in five league matches, collecting 7 points from 15 available. Their record reads 1 win and 4 draws, with only 2 goals conceded across that span. The most recent outing ended 1:1 away at Dečić on 9 September, while the match before that brought a 0:0 stalemate against Sutjeska at home.

Arsenal Tivat have failed to win a single game this season. Their seven-match tally shows 0 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, leaving them 4 points adrift of Petrovac in the table. The visitors have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 league fixtures while letting in 8. Their most recent result was a 0:1 home defeat to Mladost DG on 10 September.

Six meetings separate these sides in recent memory. Petrovac have claimed 3 victories, Arsenal Tivat 2, with 1 draw. The most recent encounter on 26 April 2026 saw Arsenal Tivat win 3:1 at home, but Petrovac responded with a 1:0 victory at their own ground on 1 March 2026.

The model expects Petrovac to score 1.6 goals and Arsenal Tivat 0.6. A draw carries 24% probability, both teams scoring 38%, and three or more goals 40%. The most likely scorelines are 1:0 at 17%, 2:0 at 14% and 1:1 at 11%.

Petrovac's attacking pattern shows a clear shift after half-time. They score 32% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minute and 45% between the 76th and 90th. Arsenal Tivat concede 25% of their goals in each of those same periods, suggesting the visitors could face mounting pressure as the match progresses.

The prediction rests on Petrovac maintaining their home advantage and Arsenal Tivat continuing their winless run. A draw would suit the visitors given their tendency to run the clock down in tight matches, and that represents the main scenario where this conclusion stops holding.

S. Arambasic and M. Merdović each carry 3 yellow cards for Petrovac and face suspension risk if booked again, though neither is ruled out for this fixture.