Real Sociedad Women vs Chelsea Women: match prediction on 2 September 2026

Chelsea Women advance on aggregate, having won the return leg comfortably.

The visitors lead 5:2 from the first meeting in London and need only to avoid defeat to progress. Chelsea can afford a draw or even a narrow loss and still go through. Real Sociedad must score at least four goals without reply to overturn the deficit, or match the first-leg scoreline to force extra time. The math favours the side that dominated the opening encounter.

Chelsea's recent form shows 4 wins in 5 matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding just 7. They beat Manchester United 1:0 at home on 16 May, then lost 2:3 to Manchester City in the cup before winning 3:1 at Leicester and 4:1 at Everton. Real Sociedad won 2 and lost 3 in the same period, taking 6 points with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded. Their last outing was a 0:2 home defeat to Logroño on 29 August.

The two teams met once before, on 26 August at Stamford Bridge, where Chelsea won 5:2. That result already gave them a commanding advantage heading into this fixture. The aggregate score means Real Sociedad must attack from the start, while Chelsea can play with space and counter effectively.

Real Sociedad are expected to score fewer goals than Chelsea. The most likely scorelines are 0:3 and 0:4, each at 12%, with 0:5 at 9%. Real Sociedad concede 43% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, while Chelsea score 23% of theirs between the 61st and 75th minutes — a mismatch that could decide the game late.

A draw suits the visitors and is the main threat to this conclusion. If Real Sociedad find a way to keep the score level, Chelsea still advance, but the margin narrows considerably. If Real Sociedad score first and defend, the match becomes a cage contest rather than an open game.