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Vardar Skopje vs Aresimi: match prediction on 7 September 2026

First League Toše Proeski Arena Skopje Hit Match page
Vardar Skopje Aresimi

Prediction for

Win: Vardar Skopje

70%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

70% 1
19% X
12% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 3 Sep, 16:09

Vardar Skopje won 2-0. The model had anticipated 2.2 goals for the hosts and 0.8 for the visitors, with a 13 per cent probability for a 2-0 scoreline.

Vardar Skopje controlled the tempo through the first half, exploiting a vulnerability in the visitors' defence. Aresimi had not conceded in their previous home match against Skopje but failed to maintain that record here. The hosts' strikers, including Goran Zakarić and Azer Omeragikj, were involved in the goals.

Vardar Skopje recorded 4.33 shots on target per game in their last ten matches, while Aresimi averaged 4.6; however, the visitors kept the keeper quiet on this occasion. The hosts converted their opportunities efficiently, moving them to sixth place in the standings with seven points, level on points with the seventh-placed visitors.

The most recent encounter in March 2026 saw Aresimi win 1-0, but the current result reverses that trend. Vardar Skopje scored 24 per cent of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes in their last ten games, but here they secured the win before the 61st minute. Vardar Skopje have won two of their last five matches, while Aresimi suffered their second defeat in four league outings.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 3 Sep, 16:09
  • Вардар Скопье — 5. place, 7 points after 5 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
  • Аресими — 7. place, 7 points after 5 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
  • Вардар Скопье, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Аресими, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Вардар Скопье — 2, 1 draws, Аресими — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Vardar Skopje LWDWW 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Aresimi WWDLD 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

Head to head 5

3Vardar Skopje 1Draw 1Aresimi
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+