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Víkingur Gøta vs HB: match prediction on 28 August 2026

Meistaradeildin Sarpugerði Norðragøta Miss Match page
Víkingur Gøta HB

Prediction for

Win: Víkingur Gøta

41%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

41% 1
25% X
34% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:03

HB extend lead with victory over Víkingur Gøta

HB moved four points clear of Víkingur Gøta in the Meistaradeildin table after a 3-1 victory at the Gøta ground on Friday. The result confirmed the visitors' superiority in this fixture, adding to their earlier 3-1 win over the hosts in the league earlier in the month. HB climbed to third place with 37 points from 21 matches, while Víkingur Gøta remained fifth with 33 points, their record slipping to eight wins, nine draws, and four defeats.

The visitors capitalised on their momentum from a four-game winning streak, which had seen them score ten goals and concede just two. HB's offensive output, averaging 22 goals in their previous ten league games, proved decisive against a Víkingur Gøta side that had struggled to find consistency. The hosts, who had managed only two wins in their last five matches, could not contain the away attack, allowing HB to score more than twice their average output for the season.

Statistical trends highlighted the contrast in efficiency. HB, who typically average 4.5 shots on target per match, secured three goals against a side that averages 5.1 attempts on target. The visitors also relied heavily on late-game interventions, with 36% of their total goals arriving in the final 15 minutes of matches, a period where Víkingur Gøta had previously been vulnerable. The hosts' own goal distribution showed 29% of their 28 goals coming in the final segment, but this was insufficient to overcome the deficit.

The defeat leaves Víkingur Gøta trailing HB by four points after 21 rounds. The hosts have now lost two of their last five fixtures, dropping to seven points from those games. HB, meanwhile, extend their unbeaten run to five matches and maintain a comfortable position in the upper half of the table, having secured their standing after eliminating Stjarnan in European competition earlier this summer.

Prediction check: A pre-match model estimated HB would score 1.3 goals, a figure that underestimated their actual output in this encounter.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:03
  • Викингур Гёта — 5. place, 33 points after 20 games (8 wins, 9 draws, 3 losses)
  • ХБ — 3. place, 34 points after 20 games (10 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses)
  • Викингур Гёта, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
  • ХБ, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 20 games, Викингур Гёта — 6, 4 draws, ХБ — 10

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Víkingur Gøta WLDLW 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
HB WWWDW 4 wins · 1 draw

Head to head 27

10Víkingur Gøta 4Draw 13HB
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+