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Aalborg Håndbold vs Fredericia HK: match prediction on 2 September 2026

Herre Handbold Ligaen Sparekassen Danmark Arena Pandrup Miss Match page
Aalborg Håndbold Fredericia HK

Prediction for

Win: Aalborg Håndbold

64%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

64% 1
36% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02

Aalborg Håndbold to win. The hosts have won five of the last six meetings and are currently unbeaten in the league, while Fredericia HK have lost three of their last five outings. The model expects Aalborg to score 34.2 goals and Fredericia 28.2, and the gap in recent form makes a home victory the logical outcome.

Aalborg sit third in the table with four points from two matches, having won both games. They beat Holstebro TTH 31:29 at home on 30 August and won away at SønderjyskE 32:28 the following day. Their last five matches show four victories and one defeat, with 158 goals scored and 148 conceded. The only loss came against Barcelona in the Champions League on 13 June, a 32:37 result that does not diminish their domestic standing.

Fredericia HK are sixth with two points from two matches, recording one win and one draw. Their last five games contain two victories and three defeats, with 146 goals scored and 158 conceded. They lost at home to Ribe-Esbjerg 27:31 on 30 August and had previously won away at Nordsjælland Håndbold 31:24. Their most recent league defeat came away at Aalborg on 2 May, a 26:36 result that also features in the head-to-head record.

The head-to-head record over the past few years heavily favours the hosts. Aalborg have won ten of fifteen meetings, with one draw and four victories for Fredericia. In the six matches shown in detail, Aalborg won five and Fredericia one. The most recent encounter on 2 May 2026 ended 36:26 to Aalborg. The previous home match for Aalborg on 18 October 2025 ended 38:20. Fredericia's only win in that period came on 4 April 2026, a 41:36 victory at home.

The model gives no probability for a draw at 0%, and both-teams-to-score is also listed at 0%. The expected goals suggest a comfortable margin for Aalborg, who have consistently outscored opponents in recent fixtures. Aalborg's attack has produced scores of 31, 32, 31, 32, and 32 in their last five matches, while Fredericia's highest output in the same period was 31 against Nordsjælland and 31 against Hamburg in a friendly.

Confidence: 72%

Reasoning

Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02
  • Ольборг — 3. place, 4 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
  • Фредерисия — 6. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Ольборг, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Фредерисия, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 15 games, Ольборг — 10, 1 draws, Фредерисия — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Aalborg Håndbold WWLWD 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Fredericia HK WLWLW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 16

11Aalborg Håndbold 1Draw 4Fredericia HK
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+