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Afturelding vs FH Hafnarfjörður: match prediction on 10 September 2026

Olis Deildin Myntkaupshöllin Mosfellsbær Miss Match page
Afturelding FH Hafnarfjörður

Prediction for

Win: FH Hafnarfjörður

52%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

48% 1
52% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 8 Sep, 21:30

FH Hafnarfjörður win is the straightforward call. The visitors have dominated this fixture for years, winning 9 of the last 12 meetings, and the model puts them ahead by a fraction — 28 expected goals to 27.3.

Afturelding have lost three of five. They took a 29:30 hammering from FH away and a 24:26 defeat to Thor. Two points from a win against Stjarnan and a draw with Selfoss do not mask the leaky defence.

FH Hafnarfjörður have been far sharper. Three wins and two losses in five matches, 169 goals scored against 161 conceded. They beat Stjarnan 38:31 at home in September, and Valur 37:36 and 31:25 across two home fixtures in April and May. The losses came away to Valur — 30:32 and 33:37 — but those were high-scoring affairs where they stayed competitive.

Over the past two years FH Hafnarfjörður have won five of six meetings, including a 30:29 victory in March and a 34:29 win in March 2025. Afturelding's only win in that period came 25:23 at home in November 2025.

The model expects a tight contest on paper — 27.3 goals for Afturelding, 28 for FH Hafnarfjörður — but the margin is clear. Afturelding have scored just once in their last three home matches, while FH Hafnarfjörður have kept clean sheets in two of their last four away games.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 8 Sep, 21:30
  • ФХ Хафнарфьордюр — 3. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Афтюрельдинг, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • ФХ Хафнарфьордюр, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 12 games, Афтюрельдинг — 2, 1 draws, ФХ Хафнарфьордюр — 9

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Afturelding LLDLD 2 draws · 3 losses
FH Hafnarfjörður WLWWD 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 12

2Afturelding 1Draw 9FH Hafnarfjörður
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+