Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Prediction for
Win: Ajax København Women
55%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 4
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 13:08Ajax København Women are favourites to beat AGF Women at home on 19 September. The model puts their expected goals at 25.7 against AGF's 23.9, and their last meeting on 8 February ended 27:24 to the hosts. The conclusion holds if AGF score more than 24 and Ajax concede fewer than 24.
AGF Women sit third in the table with four points from three games, while Ajax København Women are seventh with two points from two. The gap between them is not large, but AGF have played one more fixture and have not dropped points yet. Ajax København Women have one draw and one win so far this season, keeping them seventh, a place off the top six.
Both sides have won three and lost two of their last five matches. Ajax København Women's results read 33:28 at Hadsten and 19:18 against Rodovre. AGF Women's record shows 24:28 at Roskilde and 19:14 vs Hadsten.
The head-to-head record is level at two wins each from four meetings. The most recent encounter on 8 February 2026 finished 27:24 to Ajax København Women at home. Before that, AGF Women won 26:23 on 25 October 2025, Ajax København Women won 19-18 on 5 April 2025 and AGF Women claimed 16:22 on 14 December 2024.
The model projects 25.7 goals for Ajax København Women and 23.9 for AGF Women. The prediction stops holding if AGF Women exceed 25 goals or if Ajax København Women concede more than 25 themselves. The model rates a draw at 0%. The most likely scorelines cluster around 26:24 or 27:25 in favour of the hosts.
Outcome: Ajax København Women to win