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Alisa Ufa Women vs Zvezda Zvenigorod Women: match prediction on 18 September 2026

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Alisa Ufa Women Zvezda Zvenigorod Women

Prediction for

Win: Zvezda Zvenigorod Women

67%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

33% 1
67% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 16 Sep, 14:33

Zvezda Zvenigorod Women are predicted to win on Thursday. They have beaten Alisa Ufa in every meeting, they are scoring more freely, and the model puts them ahead by seven goals on average.

Zvezda sit seventh with two points from two matches, one victory and one draw. Alisa Ufa occupy ninth, also after two games, but carry zero points from two draws. The gap is small in the table, yet the point difference tells a different story. Zvezda have taken points they needed; Alisa have collected none.

Over the last five matches the contrast sharpens. Alisa Ufa have won nothing, drawn once, lost four times, gathering just one point and conceding 25 more goals than they scored — 155 against 130. Zvezda have won three, lost two, and outscored their opponents by 16 goals, 153 to 137. The most recent outing for Alisa was a 20:23 defeat away at Luch on 14 September. Zvezda's latest was a 31:33 loss at home to Chernomorochka on 13 September, their only setback in five games. Zvezda have won all three head-to-head encounters, taking 44:26 at home in December 2025 and 35:27 away in September 2025, while Alisa have never managed a victory.

The model expects Zvezda to score 33.5 goals, Alisa 26.3. The draw probability is given as zero, and both teams scoring as zero — figures that suggest a one-sided affair. The model builds on goals scored and conceded; it knows nothing of injuries or suspensions, and none have been reported for either side.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 16 Sep, 14:33
  • Алиса Уфа (жен) — 9. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Звезда Звенигород — 7. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Алиса Уфа (жен), last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
  • Звезда Звенигород, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Алиса Уфа (жен) — 0, Звезда Звенигород — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Alisa Ufa Women LLLLL 5 losses
Zvezda Zvenigorod Women WWLWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 3

0Alisa Ufa Women 0Draw 3Zvezda Zvenigorod Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+