Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Zvezda Zvenigorod Women
Prediction for
Win: Zvezda Zvenigorod Women
67%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 3
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 14:33Zvezda Zvenigorod Women are predicted to win on Thursday. They have beaten Alisa Ufa in every meeting, they are scoring more freely, and the model puts them ahead by seven goals on average.
Zvezda sit seventh with two points from two matches, one victory and one draw. Alisa Ufa occupy ninth, also after two games, but carry zero points from two draws. The gap is small in the table, yet the point difference tells a different story. Zvezda have taken points they needed; Alisa have collected none.
Over the last five matches the contrast sharpens. Alisa Ufa have won nothing, drawn once, lost four times, gathering just one point and conceding 25 more goals than they scored — 155 against 130. Zvezda have won three, lost two, and outscored their opponents by 16 goals, 153 to 137. The most recent outing for Alisa was a 20:23 defeat away at Luch on 14 September. Zvezda's latest was a 31:33 loss at home to Chernomorochka on 13 September, their only setback in five games. Zvezda have won all three head-to-head encounters, taking 44:26 at home in December 2025 and 35:27 away in September 2025, while Alisa have never managed a victory.
The model expects Zvezda to score 33.5 goals, Alisa 26.3. The draw probability is given as zero, and both teams scoring as zero — figures that suggest a one-sided affair. The model builds on goals scored and conceded; it knows nothing of injuries or suspensions, and none have been reported for either side.