Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Asane
Prediction for
Win: Asane
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 14:00Asane are the clear favourites here. The model expects them to score 33 goals to Kragerø HK's 28.2, and the head-to-head record backs that up. In two meetings this year Asane won both, by margins of eight and five goals. The model's confidence sits at 61%.
On 11 March 2026 Asane beat Kragerø HK 30:22 at home. Before that, on 16 November 2025, they won 29:24 away from home. Two wins, no draws, no losses for Asane. That pattern suggests a familiarity that could matter on Saturday.
Asane's recent results have been mixed. Asane have lost four of five, including a 17:37 hammering at Fjellhammer. They sit 10th in the table after one match this season, with a single draw and no points yet.
Kragerø HK have shown more variation in their last five games. Two wins and three losses, with 144 goals scored and 173 conceded. The victories came against Lillestrom 35:26 and Bjornar 36:33 away. The defeats were to Kristiansand IF 25:40, Bergsoy 26:44, and Asane 22:30 on 11 March. They are listed eighth in the standings, though the table shows zero matches played for both sides, which suggests the season has barely begun.
The model's goal projections point toward a comfortable home win. Asane are expected to outscore their opponents by nearly five goals. The draw probability is listed at 0%, and a low-scoring game is marked at 0%. The model hasn't factored in today's team news.
They have shown they can score against better opposition, as the 36:33 win at Bjornar demonstrates. If they keep Asane quiet and exploit any gaps in defence, the margin could shrink. Neither team has any reported absences.
The head-to-head record, the model's expectations, and the fact that Kragerø HK have struggled on the road all point in one direction. The confidence figure of 61% reflects that, but it is not a guarantee. Still, I will back Asane to take the win.